Monday 23 April 2012

Reality Check

While a champion was being crowned out at Randwick on Saturday, a few teams faced a stern reality check in Round 4 as the 2012 premiership race looks to be the most open for many years.

Despite The Falcon telling you the Dockers would be the Saints on Friday night, he changed his tip midweek after looking at the Shockers recent record against the Sinners. Greg Broughton's late goal to seal the win for the purple haze was a dagger through the heart.

That dagger turned into the AFL equivalent of a suicide bomb for Carlton fans on Saturday arvo at the G, as the Bombers pulled the old wolf in sheeps clothing trick with an unbelievable 5 goal win, while the Blues looked to still have the hangover from last week's win over the Pies. The scum should have won by more. Still, I'd back the Blues to beat them if they happen to meet in September. Over at Etihad it was the black and white stripe Derby, and the filth from Melbourne defeated the filth from South Australia in a less than impressive display. They are still a long way from their best form. The twilight game saw the Crows recorded the lowest ever victory recorded against GWS. Warning signs must certainly be flashing over at Football Park.

Saturday night saw the Lions easily win the Q-clash, but the win was diminished by a late knee injury to Gary Ablett Jnr who will now miss 2-3 weeks. You would have to expect some 100 point beltings for the Suns over that period. Meanwhile in the west, we witnessed one of weirdest games of football you will ever see. Hawthorn and West Coast managed a collective 10.37 between them in a match that must have brought back memories of windy winters at the Western Oval. Despite going goalless (yes goalless!!!) in the first half, the Eagles held off a late Hawthorn charge to win a thriller and firm towards premiership favoritism.

Sunday was a day of ho-hum matches. A below strength Geelong scraped past Richmond down at Sleepy Hollow in a game the Tiges could have won had they taken their chances. North copped a massive reality check when they were humbled by the Swans at the SCG. People are now talking up the Swans as genuine top 4 contenders - puleasee!!! The loss says more about North than it does the Swans. Still mid-table battlers. The Swans are honest as the day is long but are still a few goals off the top outfits for mine. Jim Stynes was remembered in the Sunday twilight fixture with a match up between two teams already in the grave this season (too soon?). The Dogs won a slogfest but football was the loser on the day.

To the tips, and not surprisingly given the Blues no show on Saturday there were no perfect rounds this week. Four tipsters managed to grab 8 from 9 though. One of those was pavstheman who moved into equal first over all on 30, tied with the Horseboy who continues to perform well despite an overseas absence. In the streak competition Owen Bailey has joined Driza Bone with a 12 game run, however Owen's streak is still active after Adelaide's close victory over GWS so he holds prime position in that competition.

Finally to the ANZAC round with the ANZAC game now looking a complete lottery. I'll continue to back the Pies in - the Bombers have not been the most consistent side in recent seasons. Friday night see the Blues try to bounce back against the Dockers in Perth. Another coin flip for mine, but I just lean towards Freo in Perth. The Dogs will make it two wins in a row when they beat GWS in Canberra, while North Melbourne will bounce back when their piss-easy draw sees them face Gold Coast at Etihad. Saturday night sees an absolute snoozer at the G where the Saints should account for the Demons. Geelong face what may be a tough challenge against the Lions at the GABBA, but I still think there is the core of a champion team in there somewhere. Cats for mine. Sydney's claims for a top 4 spot will be blown apart by the Hawks on Sunday in Tassie. West Coast should be far too good for the Tiges even though they meet in Melbourne while the round concludes with the Showdown over in Adelaide. I'm sure the rest of Australia would rather storm the Gallipolli beaches then watch the two bogan SA sides go at it.


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